RESEARCH //

Thought leadership.

Regular publications to articulate what we see and how we think

Did You Get Your Midterm Results?

The Federal Reserve held rates steady this week as policymakers assessed persistent inflation and evolving financial conditions. Chair Kevin Warsh acknowledged that credit conditions have tightened for some borrowers and that capital markets are becoming more selective.

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The Price of Conviction

Ten years ago, the earnings yield on U.S. equities, as represented by the S&P 500 Index, sat notably higher than the real 10-year U.S. Treasury Note yield. That relationship changed dramatically in 2026.

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